After making a profitable return to the weekly betting feature, I’m back with another two-fer in today’s edition of Nick’s Blue Jays Bets. We went 1-1 in the season debut, let down by the Jays’ bats with Kevin Gausman receiving no run support as the Yankees led 3-0 through five. Thankfully we got Dane Dunning to come through with seven strikeouts in 3.2 innings to make for an easy plus-money winner that put us in the green.
Like last week’s matchup, it won’t be an easy one for the Jays as they take on the Red Sox in Boston. But rather than being worried about the tall task ahead of them I’m excited to see how this ballclub fares against one of the toughest teams in one of the toughest places to play in all of baseball. The Sox are 5-5 so far on the season coming off an 8-2 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Twins, who walloped them on the day of the Boston Marathon, no less.
While the Jays are ahead of their Beantown rivals in the standings for now, I am a tad worried about them in this one. Yusei Kikuchi takes the bump tonight, and his debut last week in the Bronx was not encouraging to say the least. The Yankees are a tough opponent, which gives me optimism that Kikuchi’s season won’t be reflective of that one outing, but the Red Sox are no walk in the park either. The Jays have a great offense but with the Japanese southpaw on the bump I wasn’t surprised to see them open as a +120 dog.
Even if I’m not optimistic about their chances to win the game, there’s still a Jays bet that I’m confident will hit for us tonight. I also have another bonus play outside of this game, since the last one hit, and it’s again at plus-money. We love value here at Nick’s Blue Jays Bets.
Odds will be measured in American-style odds, which is the most common gambling metric used in this part of the world, as well as decimal-style odds because that’s what I like using. If you’re interested in learning about American odds, or looking to convert American/Decimal/Fraction gambling odds, then you’re welcome. Both are good to know when first getting into sports gambling.
*And make sure to play responsibly. You shouldn’t try to make a living off of a midweek baseball game in April. This is for fun.
April 19, 7:10 PM: Toronto Blue Jays (+120 / 2.20) @ New York Yankees (-140 / 1.71)
Probable Pitchers: Yusei Kikuchi LHP (TOR) vs Nathan Eovaldi RHP (BOS)
Bo Bichette over 1.5 total bases (+110 / 2.10)
Look, I know Bo has struggled at the plate so far this season, but hear me out. While the 24-year old shortstop has looked great defensively his .555 OPS leaves a lot to be desired in the early goings. And I think he’ll turn it around this series.
Bo Bichette hits it out of Fenway 😳pic.twitter.com/x6TaLmUn07
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) April 21, 2021
With the Blue Jays in Boston this is a great opportunity for Bo to get out of his slump because he LOVES hitting the ball at Fenway Park. In Bichette’s 13 career games at Fenway he has a .377 batting average and a colossal .736 slugging. Not only does Bo hit for contact but he mashes in this park, having hit five dingers there including one that left the ballpark and landed on the street where his parents first met in 1991. Bo profiles well with Fenway’s dimensions, and he has an eery connection to the area. That’s enough for me to like the bet.
Bo Bichette is destroying the ball in Fenway pic.twitter.com/1dHlZ4tb9p
— Baseball Bros (@BaseballBros) June 13, 2021
On top of the ballpark Bichette also has a good history against Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi. He has five hits in 12 at-bats vs the righthander including a homer. Eovaldi might be the best pitcher in the Sox rotation with Chris Sale on the shelf but his 5.56 ERA against the Blue Jays in two starts last season tells you he’s not invincible. I think this is a great spot for Bo to step up in this lineup and find a spark at the plate.
I’ll gladly take Bo Bichette over 1.5 total bases at Fenway with plus-odds. All we need is a pair of singles or a double to cash it, but I guess a homer would be fine too.
Bonus: Milwaukee Brewers ML + San Diego Padres ML Parlay(+110 / 2.10)
I only like to bet sides in baseball when I have a good reason to believe a team will win that given night. I have two of those on this slate, and given their odds it made too much sense to parlay the two to get us a plus-money winner. Both the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres are juiced favourites tonight, against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds, but it’s for good reason as I think they’ll have no problem beating up on their opponents thanks to a clear edge on the mound.
Corbin Burnes, 6th, 7th and 8th Ks.
Thru 5. pic.twitter.com/vPM0WiGYWt
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 14, 2022
The Brewers are starting Corbin Burnes tonight, which is as good of a reason you’ll find to bet on this ballclub. The reigning NL Cy Young is a menace on the mound, and the Pirates are one of the easiest matchups he’ll have all season. Burnesy’s coming off a seven inning scoreless gem with eight strikeouts and looks to be one of the league’s best pitchers again this year. Sure, he dominated against the Baltimore Orioles, who some might call a dumpster fire, but the Pirates are the Orioles of the National League. I have no worries with Burnes and the Brew Crew going up against a team that lost 101 games last season and a pitcher with a 9.82 ERA across his first two starts.
The Padres are in a similar boat as they have a great pitcher going against one of the league’s basement dwellers. With a 2-9 record and just five runs scored in their last four games, the Reds look like they’ve already given up on the season after their team president openly admitted that he doesn’t care about this ballclub and their fans. This is a trainwreck in the making and the season is only two weeks old. I think Joe Musgrove has a prime opportunity to continue his incredible start to the season, coming off a 6 2/3 scoreless gem against the reigning World Series champs. Moose and the Padres are going to have a field day against Cincy’s league-worst offense and a pitcher who got smoked in his first start. Do yourself a favour and ride this +110 moneyline parlay.