As MLB enters the final stretch before the all-star break, Mike Trout and Freddie Freeman are the favorites to claim the AL and NL MVP awards.
Odds released at Bovada show Trout as the odds-on favorite to win the American League MVP award at -350. Early-season National League betting favorite Bryce Harper has seen his stock fall and now Atlanta’s Freeman and Colorado’s Nolan Arenado are neck and neck at +145 and +155 respectively.
While Trout will have to have a disastrous second half to lose the AL award, it’s very much up for grabs in the senior circuit.
Is Mike Trout REALLY the American League’s Most Valuable Player?
Mike Trout is widely regarded as the best baseball player on the planet, but is he the best player in the majors this year? The numbers draw that conclusion into question. Of the major offensive statistics tracked by MLB, Trout is first in just one, on-base percentage. He reaches base 45.6 percent of the time he comes to the plate.
Conversely, Red Sox outfielder Mookie Betts leads the league in batting average (.338), slugging percentage (.669) and OPS (1.101). His Boston teammate, J.D. Martinez, leads the league in offensive production with 26 home runs and 71 RBIs, first in both categories.
Both Betts (+800) and Martinez (+400) are excellent bets in this category. It stands to reason that their seasons will only continue to look better in statistical categories as the Red Sox are one of the best teams in baseball. On the other hand, Trout’s Angels are struggling to stay above water and he’s the only one with gills.
Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the 2018 American League MVP award:
|Mike Trout (LAA)||-350|
|J.D. Martinez (BOS)||+400|
|Mookie Betts (BOS)||+800|
|Jose Altuve (HOU)||+1000|
|Jose Ramirez (CLE)||+2000|
|Francisco Lindor (CLE)||+2000|
|Manny Machado (BAL)||+3000|
|Aaron Judge (NYY)||+3000|
|Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)||+4000|
|Carlos Correa (HOU)||+4000|
|George Springer (HOU)||+5000|
Odds as of July 5 at Bovada
Odds To Win the 2018 National League MVP
While there are two or three realistic options to win the AL MVP, there are many more candidates for the NL crown, even at the midway mark. In fact, a player not even in the hunt right now could jump up and take the award with a strong second half.
Freeman vs Arenado
Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman, who was +600 to win the award just five weeks ago, is currently the betting favorite at +145. This is largely based on his .929 OPS which is third in the NL behind Nolan Arenado (+155) and Eugenio Suarez. Freeman’s odds are interesting because he is 12th in home runs, eighth in RBIs, eighth in batting average and sixth in slugging percentage. Hardly MVP numbers.
That’s why Arenado might be a better bet in this category. The Rockies third baseman is having a career year, batting .312 after 308 at-bats. Arenado leads the NL in home runs (22), RBIs (63), slugging percentage (.601) and OPS (.997). His 3.4 WAR is tied for second in the NL.
Harper Has Fallen Off The Pace
Bryce Harper, who led the NL oddsboard at the beginning of June, has fallen to +1200 to win the NL MVP. Harper slashed .188/.333/.341 and saw his stock fall along with Washington Nationals playoff hopes.
Here’s a look at the odds to win the 2018 National League MVP award:
|Freddie Freeman (ATL)||+145|
|Nolan Arenado (COL)||+155|
|Max Scherzer (WAS)||+450|
|Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)||+800|
|Kris Bryant (CHC)||+1100|
|Bryce Harper (WAS)||+1200|
|Anthony Rizzo (CHC)||+2500|
|Matt Kemp (LAD)||+2500|
|Anthony Rendon (WAS)||+3000|
|Joey Votto (CIN)||+4000|
|Nick Markakis (ATL)||+5000|
Odds as of July 5 at Bovada
We’re two months into the Major League Baseball season and the usual suspects remain the favorites to win Most Valuable Player for their respective leagues.
Online sportsbook BetOnline has Angels outfielder Mike Trout at the top of its oddsboard at +300 to win his third AL MVP award while Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper is listed at +400 to claim his second NL award.
Here is a breakdown of why Trout and Harper are currently the favorites and who could be in line in their respective leagues to steal the hardware from these two wunderkinds.
For Cy Young betting odds, click here.
2018 American League MVP Odds
Any casual baseball fan knows of Mike Trout’s exploits since coming up to the big leagues in 2011. Trout has either won or finished in the top five in MVP voting for six straight seasons and may have had more trophies in his case if Miguel Cabrera hadn’t hit for the triple crown in 2012.
Mike Trout leads MLB with 18 home runs in 54 games this season.
And this season is no different as Trout currently leads the majors with 18 home runs in 54 games while sporting an insane 1.123 OPS. As far as five-tool players go, he is the standard for what teams are looking for and at +300, the value isn’t terrible should bettors want to invest in the 26-year-old slugger.
However, the only worthy candidate who could possibly unseat Trout is Mookie Betts. While his odds (+350) aren’t much better than Trout’s, what he has been doing in the heart of the Red Sox order has been extraordinary. Betts has 17 home runs (second in MLB), 19 doubles (second in MLB) and leads the majors in batting average at .359. He also has the edge vs Trout in stolen bases (13 to 12) while only striking out 25 times to Trout’s 45. When you factor in that the Red Sox have the best record in baseball, this may be Betts’ year to shine.
Bettors should keep checking their sportsbook to see if pitcher Justin Verlander eventually gets added to the oddsboard. Verlander is the last pitcher to win MVP in the American League and is arguably having a better year in 2018 than he did in 2012 when he took the hardware.
AL MVP Winner Odds
Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline
- Mike Trout (Angels) +300
- Mookie Betts (Red Sox) +350
- Jose Altuve (Astros) +700
- Aaron Judge (Yankees) +1000
- Manny Machado (Orioles) +1200
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) +1400
- J.D. Martinez (Red Sox) +1600
- Andrelton Simmons (Angels) +1600
- Carlos Correa (Astros) +2000
- Francisco Lindor (Indians) +2000
- Jose Ramirez (Indians) +2000
- Nick Castellanos (Tigers) +2000
- George Springer (Astros) +2000
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels) +2000
- Josh Donaldson (Blue Jays) +2500
- Jean Segura (Mariners) +3300
- Michael Brantley (Indians) +3300
- Jose Abreu (White Sox) +3300
2018 National League MVP Odds
Arguably the best contact hitter in baseball since Tony Gwynn, Bryce Harper has been crowned for superstardom since he graced the cover of Sports Illustrated as a 16-year-old. Harper leads the National League with 16 home runs and 46 walks but a glaring .228 batting average makes the +400 odds to win the award quite risky for bettors. Also, when you consider his injury history – he’s only played more than 140 games twice in six seasons – there may be better options, even in his own division.
Second baseman Ozzie Albies at +2000 could be the under-the-radar candidate to win the MVP award with the resurgent Braves. Albies is second in the NL in doubles (15) and homers (14) and has been the main highlight of an Atlanta squad that was pegged prior to the season to win around 72 games. The main knock on Albies is that he currently has six fielding errors this season which ties him for worst among all starting second basemen. But if he continues to stroke at the plate and helps carry Atlanta to a wild card or division title (the Braves lead the NL East standings as of this writing), he could make an enticing option at that price tag.
NL MVP Winner Odds
Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline
- Bryce Harper (Nationals) +400
- Nolan Arenado (Rockies) +400
- Freddie Freeman (Braves) +600
- Kris Bryant (Cubs) +1000
- Scooter Gennett (Reds) +1200
- Brandon Belt (Giants) +1400
- Joey Votto (Reds) +2000
- Charlie Blackmon (Rockies) +2000
- Nick Markakis (Braves) +2000
- Ozzie Albies (Braves) +2000
- Travis Shaw (Brewers) +2000
- Paul Goldschmidt (Diamondbacks) +2500
- Cody Bellinger (Dodgers) +2500
- Yoenis Cespedes (Mets) +2500
- Asdrubal Cabrera (Mets) +2500
- A.J. Pollock (Diamondbacks) +2500
- Javier Baez (Cubs) +2500
- Matt Kemp (Dodgers) +2500
- Odubel Herrera (Phillies) +2500
- Anthony Rizzo (Cubs) +4000