Hyun jin Ryu owes me an apology after Friday night’s debacle. Not only did he let down himself, his team, and the thousands of Blue Jays fans that tuned into their series opener against the Minnesota Twins, but he also let me down. The only person who got embarrassed nearly as much as Ryu did Friday was the dope who decided to believe in him and give out the over on his outs prop. IDIOT.
Big Dick Nick an hour later… https://t.co/ptTGUmjVvA
— Dean Blundell (@ItsDeanBlundell) September 18, 2021
As you already know, Ryu lasted a whole two (2) innings before getting pulled, giving up five earned runs as it felt like the Twins were taking batting practice a bit later than usual. I was foolish to have faith in Ryu, who has struggled lately and has coincidingly dealt with injuries. But everyone who bets will have a bad loss every now and then. Just like a pitcher after giving up a homer (or in Ryu’s case, a hundred homers), you just have to wipe the slate clean and focus on what’s in front of you.
I’m looking to bounce back in this edition of Bet On The Blue Jays, looking at some plays for what should be a great game tonight as the Jays kick off a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Considering where the Jays stand in the Wild Card race at this juncture, you could argue that this is the most important week of the entire season for them. I’m just trying to win some bets.
When it comes to betting on the Jays, you couldn’t feel more confident than when Robbie Ray is on the mound. The southpaw has been so damn fun to watch this year, and his Cy Young chances look better and better with every start. I’m confident that he’ll give this ballcub everything he’s got in a big divisional matchup tonight and set the tone for this series at the Trop. I’d be comfortable betting Blue Jays (-135) moneyline, but there are two other plays for tonight that have my official stamp of approval.
All lines will be available via Bet365, a sportsbook that is very legal in Canada. Odds will be measured in American-style odds, which is the most common gambling metric used in this part of the world, as well as decimal-style odds because that’s what I like using. If you’re interested in learning about American odds, or looking to convert American/Decimal/Fraction gambling odds from one to the other, then you’re welcome. Both are good to know when first getting into sports gambling.
*And make sure to play responsibly. You shouldn’t try to make a living off of a regular season baseball game in September. This is for fun.
September 20, 7:10 PM: Toronto Blue Jays (-135 / 1.74) @ Tampa Bay Ray (+115 / 2.15)
Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray, LHP (TOR) vs Shane Baz, LHP (TBR)
Robbie Ray over 7.5 Strikeouts (-125 / 1.80)
Have the bookies forgotten what Ray did in his most recent start? The tight-pantsed assassin pitched seven strong innings, allowing just one run on four hits on his way to the W. Most notably pertaining to this play, he had THIRTEEN STRIKEOUTS.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 15, 2021
Not only did he hit the line for tonight’s game with flying colours his last time out, but what boggles me even more with this line is that Ray’s 13K performance last week came against these same Tampa Bay Rays. The exact same team. Ray had eight strikeouts in the fourth inning on Wednesday and unless this Rays lineup is drastically different I don’t see how he doesn’t get minimum that number again this time around.
Ray has hit this number in his last seven starts, and has done it in 2/4 games against Tampa this season. The man has put together an incredible Cy Young campaign and is gonna continue to show that he deserves it tonight. The bookies are gonna go broke putting out this line for the MLB leader in punchies.
Game Total under 8 runs (-132 / 1.76)
You’d wonder why the over/under is at eight when you see Robbie Ray starting for the Jays, but I think it has to do with the Rays’ starter. Shane Baz will be making his MLB debut tonight, which is definitely why the linemakers are skeptical as he goes up against perhaps the most daunting offense in all of baseball. But I’ve followed Baz for quite some time now and lemme tell ya he’s no slouch. He had a 1.76 ERA across 10 starts at triple-A this season, holding hitters to a .174 batting average. He had a 2.48 ERA before that for the double-A Montgomery Biscuits, the coolest minor league baseball team. Baz is good and I think he won’t get absolutely shelled in five innings or so before the Rays go to their bullpen, which is one of the best in the AL. I definitely wouldn’t hate it if the Jays hang seven on him after two innings, but for the sake of this bet I don’t think it’ll happen.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 20, 2021
Between Ray and Baz I think we’ll see a pretty good starting pitching matchup that’ll allow this game to stay under 8 runs. The line has moved down to 7.5 at +100/2.00, but if you have the option buy the extra half-run in the event of a push. I know that unders aren’t a fun bet to make when you’re watching the game, so feel free to check out the Election Night Super Show with Dean and a bunch of others across the network live at 7pm. Because if there’s anything less stressful than betting the under, it’s politics.
2021 BOTB record: 14-12