I have a confession to make: I lied to you in the latest edition of Bet on the Blue Jays. Looking to end my brutally cold hitter prop streak, I was convinced that Vlad Guerrero Jr. would be the one to break the curse. I played his over 1.5 total bases prop with all of the confidence in the world that my boy Vladdy would get us there.
But then he didn’t.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) June 15, 2021
What bothered me the most about Guerrero letting me down in my attempt to finally get a hitter prop win is that he proceeded to hit the face off of the baseball the rest of the week. After recording one single on Thursday against the White Sox, losing my prop, Vladito recorded 7, 4, 6, and 5 total bases across his next four games in Boston. Does Vlad have beef with me? I don’t know. I hope not. This just shows you how unlucky I have been with these hitter props, but I’m determined to get on a hot streak whenever I feel ballsy enough to bet one again.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) June 19, 2021
Anyways, today’s Manoah day and I think the Jays are gonna bounce back after putting up a dud last night, and the last several nights. But I think the boys are gonna beat up on the O’s, the basement dwellers of the AL East, and finish this weekend back at .500.
All lines will be available via Bet365, a sportsbook that is very legal in Canada. Odds will be measured in American-style odds, which is the most common gambling metric used in this part of the world, as well as decimal-style odds because that’s what I like using. If you’re interested in learning about American odds, or looking to convert American/Decimal/Fraction gambling odds from one to the other, then you’re welcome. Both are good to know when first getting into sports gambling.
*And play responsibly. You shouldn’t try to make a living off of a regular season baseball game in June. This is for fun.
June 19, 4:05 PM: Toronto Blue Jays (-156 / 1.64) vs Baltimore Orioles (+135 / 2.35)
Probable Pitchers: Alek Manoah, RHP (TOR) vs Dean Kremer, RHP (BAL)
FIRST 5 INNINGS Blue Jays -0.5 (-135 / 1.74)
This is a bet you feel confident in right away when you look at the starting pitching matchup. The Jays are sending Manoah to the mound, who has looked damn good in his first four big-league starts. He’s no stranger to the visitors’ clubhouse as three of those starts were on the road, and they’ve been his best starts coming against the Yankees, Red Sox, and White Sox. Those are three of the best offenses in the junior circuit (well maybe not the Yankees) and are all a hell of a lot better than the Orioles.
Alek Manoah, Sick 84mph Slider…and pitching with 🔥 pic.twitter.com/qrO7FzVLzW
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 15, 2021
On the other side, the O’s are sending out Dean Kremer, who pitched for Team Israel at the 2017 World Baseball Classic. That’s great and all, but he hasn’t been a good Major Leaguer and especially not this season. The guy has a 0-6 record, not just because he pitches for the Orioles but also because he has an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.55. He’s even worse at home, allowing nearly a run for each inning he’s pitched at Camden Yards. Those are awful numbers no matter what team you play for.
I’m counting on the Blue Jays bats to wake up in this Saturday afternoon game giving Kremer and the O’s a reminder that this offense isn’t one to mess with. You could take the F5 Moneyline at -175/1.57 so that a tied score will count as a push, but I like the chances of the Jays being up through five at better odds. Look for the boys to come out hot at the dish and give Manoah a chance to come away with the win.
Moneyline Parlay: Blue Jays/Rockies/Dodgers (+332 / 4.32)
This is my first time giving out a play that isn’t exclusively Jays, and that’s partially because there aren’t any player props listed for this game on Bet365. However, it mostly has to do with the fact that I like all three of these teams to win, and the odds of putting them all together in a MLP are too good to pass up.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) June 19, 2021
You already know why I like the Blue Jays, and hopefully the offense puts up a boatload of runs so that we won’t have to rely on relief pitching to put away a close game. The Rockies have been pretty trash this season, but their starting pitcher for tonight’s game Austin Gomber has been LIGHTS OUT at home this season with a 0.95 ERA at Coors Field. That is insane given how tough it is for pitchers to have success at Coors where the ball flies out of the park, but Gomber has been a true ace there this season and the Rockies have won five in a row while averaging 6.4 runs in that stretch. Plus the Brewers’ offense sucks and their starter Adrian Houser will be the worst Milwaukee SP the Rockies will have faced so far in this series.
*logs off* pic.twitter.com/mt2LABARGa
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) June 17, 2021
Finally, there are too many reasons why the Dodgers are as close to a lock as you can get in this game and I’d definitely take on the runline -1.5 on a single bet. LA sends out Walker Buehler who is a STUD and especially on the road where he has a 1.97 ERA in his last five starts and the Dodgers have won 6 of his last 7 outings. On the other side, you have the Arizona Diamondbacks who have been the WORST team in all of baseball this season by a long shot. They’ve lost fifteen, I repeat FIFTEEN games in a row and it’s gotten to the point where I almost feel bad for these guys. The brand new Nike City Connect jerseys they wore last night were awesome but it still didn’t stop them from taking another fat L. My thoughts and prayers go out to their social media manager.
Let’s go 2-0 today and hit our +332 MLP.