The first two games of this series between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Chicago White Sox have evoked many emotions, but there’s one word that’s described my viewing experience the best: uncomfortable. Both of these games were a rollercoaster for both fanbases, being close right until the end only for one team to blow the other out of the water, snatching the souls of the opposing team and their sucker fans who stayed up past their bedtime along the way.
As seen on @timandfriends
The overtaxed Blue Jays bullpen has been showing signs of erosion pic.twitter.com/cjieo42vSB
— Sportsnet Stats (@SNstats) June 9, 2021
The first game was tied through seven innings until the White Sox hung five runs on our depleted bullpen. Last night, the Jays were down 2-1 heading to the 8th, then scored five unanswered thanks to some defensive debauchery from the South siders. Having closely watched the Jays this season, these outcomes shouldn’t be surprising. It’s not a healthy brand of baseball, but it sure seems like the brand of baseball we’ve gotten accustomed to over these past couple of months.
SOURCE: Justin Fields is NOT playing tonight. pic.twitter.com/K2iKNLHt9H
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) June 10, 2021
As Blue Jays fans we should be used to the uncertainty that comes with this fun yet flawed team. That’s why I’m here to make you some money along the way, hoping to provide any sort of relief to compensate for the mental gymnastics this club puts us through.
Taking this series against the team with the third-best record in baseball won’t be a walk in the park, but at least we’ll have Hyun Jin Ryu on the mound who gives the Jays as good of a chance as any to win a ballgame. More importantly, I’m determined to sweep my picks, and I have a couple plays for tonight’s game that should get the job done in this edition of Bet on the Blue Jays.
All lines will be available via Bet365, a sportsbook that is very legal in Canada. Odds will be measured in American-style odds, which is the most common gambling metric used in this part of the world, as well as decimal-style odds because that’s what I like using. If you’re interested in learning about American odds, or looking to convert American/Decimal/Fraction gambling odds from one to the other, then you’re welcome. Both are good to know when first getting into sports gambling.
*And make sure to play responsibly. You shouldn’t try to make a living off of a mid-week regular season baseball game in June. This is for fun.
June 10, 8:10 PM: Toronto Blue Jays (-120 / 1.83) vs Chicago White Sox (+100 / 2.00)
Probable Pitchers: Hyun-Jin Ryu, LHP (TOR) vs Dallas Keuchel, LHP (CWS)
First 5 innings under 4.5 runs (-116 / 1.86)
While the Blue Jays and White Sox have two of the American League’s best offenses, the starting pitching in this series has done a good job at quieting the bats. We saw one run scored through 5 innings Tuesday, followed by three runs through five in last night’s game as Alek Manoah held his own against a daunting lineup in his third career big-league start. Ryu squaring up opposite Dallas Keuchel means we should have another solid starting pitcher’s duel on our hands, which makes me think the F5 under trend will continue and we’ll see fewer than 4.5 runs in the first five frames.
Hyun-Jin Ryu, Filthy 68mph Curveball. 😷 pic.twitter.com/fjsNKh0sMU
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 29, 2021
Ryu struggled in his last time out against the Houston Astros, but the F5 under would’ve hit if one pitch was thrown differently and Martin Maldonado didn’t take it for a grand slam. On the other side, the White Sox should have confidence in Keuchel, as the veteran does a good job at yielding ground balls and the Jays’ bats haven’t exactly shown up since they got to Chicago. When the bullpens come in, anything can happen. But these southpaws should pitch well enough to go at least five innings, and if so then they won’t give up too many runs between the two of them. Give me the F5 under 4.5 at some solid odds.
Vladdy Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 Total bases (+120 / 2.20)
I’m gonna be honest. I’ve sucked when it comes to hitter props. I whiffed on a hail mary home run prop in my first edition of BotB, and struck out on both Teoscar total bases vs. the Phillies and Semien against the Marlins. However, my hitter prop woes end here as Vladdy Jr. will get us our first total bases win and will do so at plus money.
— Nick Reid (@NicklausRe1d) June 10, 2021
Remember when Vladdy wasn’t doing much at the plate when he first got called up in 2019? Well he showed flashes of his sky-high potential when the Jays visited Guaranteed Rate Field and Vlad hit two bombs in that series against the ChiSox, including a clutch 8th inning moonshot on a pitch that wasn’t even in the strikezone.
Slim Vlad hasn’t done much offensively in this series, but this will be the game where he’ll continue his MVP campaign against a soft throwing LHP in Keuchel. Guerrero Jr. has never faced Keuchel before but has a great OPS against left-handed pitching, and to put it simply the kid is DUE for a big game. I like Vladdy to show up tonight and remind everyone how lethal he is with a bat in his hands, and I think the books are disrespecting him by putting his total bases prop at +120/2.20. Those odds are too good for one of the best hitters on the planet.